Accurate and efficient simulation-based inference for massive black-hole binaries with LISA

7 oct. 2026, 14:00
20m
Dirac/RdC-Amphithéâtre (IP2I)

Dirac/RdC-Amphithéâtre

IP2I

160

Orateur

Alice Spadaro (L2I Toulouse, CNRS/IN2P3, Université de Toulouse)

Description

We develop an accurate simulation-based inference framework for high-mass (≳ 10⁷M⊙) black-hole binaries observable by LISA. The method is implemented within the Dingo gravitational-wave parameter-estimation code, extending its application from ground-based detectors to the LISA band. We train a normalizing-flow model using aligned-spin higher-mode waveform models and a low-frequency approximation of the detector response at fixed reference time. After sampling, we importance-sample to the true posterior based on the underlying likelihood and prior. We validate performance on simulated signals spanning the signal-to-noise regimes relevant for LISA observations and benchmark our new Dingo implementation against standard methods. We report robust agreement in the inferred posterior distributions up to signal-to-noise ratios of ∼ 500. At higher signal-to-noise ratios of ∼ 1000, we observe a reduction in sampling efficiency, while still yielding unbiased and tightly localized posteriors that can be used as a starting point for follow-up with traditional methods. The trained flow can generate 20 thousand posterior samples in less than a minute, establishing Dingo as a promising neural inference framework for rapid full-parameter estimation of massive black-hole binaries in the LISA band. The proposed approach allows for straightforward generalizations, including a time-dependent detector response, non-stationary noise artifacts such as gaps and glitches, and low-latency parameter estimations.

Auteur

Alice Spadaro (L2I Toulouse, CNRS/IN2P3, Université de Toulouse)

Documents de présentation

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